From “GM” to “Wall Street”: U.S. Financialization and China’s Rise

The ideological shift from “What’s good for GM is good for America” to “What’s good for Wall Street is good for America” did not happen earlier because the structural and institutional conditions of the U.S. economy, politics, and global system were different.

Industrial Economy Dominance

Before the 1970s, the United States was fundamentally an industrial economy. Manufacturing, mining, and heavy industry formed the backbone of national growth, accounting for the majority of employment, corporate profits, and GDP expansion. The industrial sector was not merely an economic domain but a defining feature of American power and identity. Large corporations such as General Motors, Ford, and Standard Oil stood at the center of this system, serving as engines of productivity, technological progress, and middle-class prosperity.

Industrial output and infrastructure development were widely regarded as the true markers of national strength. Economic vitality was measured in the production of tangible goods—cars, steel, machinery, and energy—rather than in the abstract flows of finance or speculative markets. This orientation shaped both the political economy and the social ethos of the nation. Policymakers viewed the fortunes of industrial firms as synonymous with the public good, since these enterprises employed millions, anchored local communities, and embodied the material foundations of American modernity.

Financial Sector Was Smaller and Less Politically Dominant

Before the 1970s, the financial sector in the United States was relatively small and constrained by a framework of strict regulation. Laws such as the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933 enforced a clear separation between commercial and investment banking, preventing the kind of cross-functional financial conglomerates that would later dominate the economy. In addition, the Federal Reserve tightly controlled interest rates, and capital flows were heavily regulated, further limiting the sector’s scope and influence.

As a result, Wall Street, though present and active, did not wield the political or economic power that it would acquire in later decades. Finance was widely regarded as a supporting instrument for industry rather than an engine of national prosperity. Corporate profits, economic growth, and political influence remained largely anchored in the industrial and manufacturing sectors, reflecting a national economic model in which financial markets played a secondary, service-oriented role rather than a dominant one.

Fixed-Dollar System and Monetary Constraints

From 1944 to 1971, the Bretton Woods system established a fixed-dollar framework in which the U.S. dollar was directly tied to gold. Under this arrangement, the government’s ability to freely expand credit or stimulate asset markets was strictly constrained, as excessive monetary expansion threatened the stability of the dollar and the credibility of the system.

Within this context, national economic strength was measured less by financial innovation or the dynamism of capital markets and more by tangible indicators such as industrial growth, export performance, and trade surpluses. Economic policy prioritized the expansion of productive capacity and global trade competitiveness, reflecting a model in which the financial sector served as a tool to support real economic activity rather than as an independent driver of prosperity.

Post-WWII Political-Economic Consensus

In the post-World War II era, the United States was united by a political-economic consensus that emphasized industrial policy, full employment, and the production of consumer goods. Keynesian economic principles guided policy, New Deal labor protections remained influential, and substantial investment flowed into manufacturing. The prevailing belief was that tangible industrial production, rather than financial maneuvering, was the primary source of national wealth and economic strength.

This worldview shaped both public sentiment and policymaking. Employment and wages were closely linked to industrial output, reinforcing the notion that what benefited major manufacturing firms also benefited the nation as a whole. Industrial leaders enjoyed broad public trust, while bankers and financial innovators were viewed as secondary actors. The idea that finance alone could drive national prosperity had little traction, as the economy and society remained anchored in the real, measurable gains of industry.

Rise of Financialization Required Structural Change

The rise of financialization in the United States required profound structural and ideological transformations. Central to this shift was the end of the Bretton Woods system in 1971, which liberated the U.S. dollar from its gold convertibility and transformed it into a fully fiat currency. Freed from the constraints of a hard-asset anchor, the Federal Reserve gained the ability to expand money and credit on an unprecedented scale, fueling asset inflation, debt growth, and leveraged speculation across equities, derivatives, and mortgage-backed securities. This monetary flexibility allowed corporate boards to prioritize short-term stock price performance as the most direct route to wealth accumulation, rather than investing in long-term industrial capacity, marking a decisive shift from industrial to financial incentives.

The transformation was further accelerated by financial deregulation during the 1980s and 1990s, which permitted banks and investment firms to grow, merge, and engage in increasingly complex transactions. Motivations for deregulation were multifaceted: ideologically, neoliberal economics emphasized free markets, minimal government intervention, and the belief that financial innovation could drive growth; politically, intense lobbying from Wall Street and the financial sector exerted pressure on policymakers; economically, U.S. banks sought to remain competitive with less-regulated European and Japanese counterparts.

Technological innovations in financial engineering, including securitization and derivatives, made Wall Street extraordinarily profitable, creating a new elite whose fortunes and influence reshaped cultural and political perceptions. Only when finance became a major engine of profits, employment, and elite wealth did the national mindset pivot from the industrial axiom that “What’s good for GM is good for America” to the financial mantra that “What’s good for Wall Street is good for America.”

Deregulation Combined With Fiat Currency Led To A Financial Explosion

The combination of financial deregulation and the advent of the fiat dollar fundamentally transformed the U.S. economy in the late twentieth century, setting the stage for a dramatic expansion of speculative finance. Nixon’s 1971 decision to end the Bretton Woods system removed the hard-dollar constraint, eliminating structural limits on leverage and currency flows. On this foundation, Reagan-era deregulation—including interest rate liberalization, the loosening of bank lending rules, and the proliferation of derivatives—enabled speculative trading to surge. The introduction of quantitative innovations, such as the Black–Scholes option-pricing model of 1973, allowed traders to mathematically value options and derivatives, transforming uncertainty into calculable risk and opening the door to massive financial engineering. Trading volumes increased exponentially, as banks leveraged cheap credit to fuel debt-driven asset booms. This unproductive financial expansion, amplified by advanced modeling techniques and high-speed trading, increasingly extracted wealth from the real economy rather than supporting domestic manufacturing, contributing directly to the hollowing-out of U.S. industry.

A critical feature of this transformation was the migration of STEM talent to Wall Street. Mathematicians, physicists, and engineers were recruited to develop sophisticated models for trading, risk management, and derivatives pricing. Incentives in this system favored speculation and arbitrage over productive investment, creating a feedback loop in which shareholder-value maximization became an economy-wide imperative. Firms could inflate stock prices through financial engineering, leveraged acquisitions, or offshoring production rather than reinvesting in industrial capacity. The combination of deregulation, a structurally unconstrained currency system, and the application of STEM expertise to speculative finance created conditions under which financial returns could far outpace the yields of traditional industrial investment—a dynamic that would have been far less scalable under a fixed-dollar regime or tighter regulatory constraints.

In sharp contrast, China has deliberately directed its STEM talent toward research, development, and technological innovation, treating human capital as a strategic national resource rather than a market commodity. Universities, state-owned enterprises, and research institutes form vertically integrated pipelines that guide talent from education to applied innovation. Programs such as the Thousand Talents Plan and its successors link personal advancement to national missions, aligning the incentives of top scientists and engineers with state-driven priorities. Under Xi Jinping’s vision of “ren cai qiang guo”—building a strong nation through talent—STEM expertise is treated as geopolitical capital, comparable to oil in the twentieth century. By channeling talent into high-value technological domains, China has sought to enhance national innovation capacity while maintaining a careful balance between state control and creative autonomy. David Dollar and Yiping Huang note that even in the digital finance sector, China’s system emphasizes technology building rather than speculative arbitrage, a deliberate inversion of the U.S. trend.

This divergence in talent deployment captures one of the most consequential structural differences in global innovation over the past three decades. Whereas the U.S. financial system has drawn its most skilled scientists and engineers into speculative markets, potentially creating long-term vulnerabilities in STEM retention and industrial competitiveness, China has sought to harness its human capital to achieve technological self-reliance and strategic innovation. The contrast highlights not only the differing domestic trajectories of the two nations but also the ways in which policy design, institutional incentives, and talent management shape the global distribution of technological capability. China’s approach underscores the strategic value of aligning intellectual resources with national priorities, while the U.S. experience demonstrates how deregulation and market-driven incentives can redirect talent away from productive investment, reshaping the economy in ways that may undermine industrial strength.

Implications for U.S. Industrial Decline

The decline of U.S. industrial strength over the past several decades can be traced to profound structural changes in the financial and corporate landscape. Under a gold-backed monetary system, speculative excess was naturally constrained by tangible limits on currency, providing a stabilizing framework for productive economic activity. The abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, however, removed these constraints, ushering in a fiat-dollar system that facilitated unchecked financial speculation. Freed from the discipline of hard-money limits, corporations increasingly prioritized short-term financial gains over long-term industrial investment. This shift encouraged global offshoring, hollowed out domestic manufacturing, and cultivated a corporate culture dominated by financialized behavior, rather than productive growth.

Shareholder value maximization emerged as the formal justification for this new orientation, but it did not arise in isolation. Nixon’s decision to end the gold standard materially enabled the rise of this ideology, which was further reinforced by subsequent ideological and policy shifts, including the Powell memo, the influence of the Mont Pelerin Society, and the deregulatory agenda of the Reagan era. As trading volumes increased dramatically, the detachment from hard-money constraints allowed speculation and arbitrage to dominate corporate incentives. Profits were increasingly extracted from the real economy rather than generated through domestic industrial growth, while executive compensation became closely tied to stock performance, reinforcing a financial-first mentality across the corporate sector.

These changes created a self-reinforcing structural feedback loop. Expanding credit and speculative activity inflated stock prices, rewarding management through stock options and bonuses while deprioritizing industrial investment. Real wages stagnated as corporate focus shifted away from productive employment, and debt-financed consumption masked the underlying weakness of the economy, maintaining the appearance of growth. This system, however, proved inherently fragile, and periodic crises, such as the dot-com bust and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, exposed the vulnerability of an economy increasingly divorced from its industrial foundations. Over time, the mechanisms of wealth creation shifted from tangible industrial production to speculative financial activity, leaving the United States with a deeply financialized economy and a hollowed-out industrial base.

Hollowed-Out Industrial Base, Rising Inequality, And The Social Precarity

The deindustrialization of the United States over the past half-century was not merely a consequence of technological change or global competition; it was structurally enabled by a combination of monetary, ideological, and regulatory shifts. Nixon’s 1971 decision to abandon the gold standard was more than a monetary policy adjustment—it fundamentally removed the constraints that had disciplined speculative behavior and laid the foundation for the hyper-financialization of the U.S. economy. Coupled with the Powell–Mont Pelerin ideological framework and Reagan-era deregulation, U.S. capital became increasingly mobile, prioritizing short-term financial gains over long-term productive investment. Industrial production was progressively offshored to low-wage countries, while domestic real-sector investment stagnated. From the 1980s onward, manufacturing employment fell sharply, driven not only by offshoring but also by automation and trade liberalization policies such as NAFTA and China’s accession to the WTO in 2001. The consequences were profound: widespread job losses, the collapse of once-thriving industrial regions—especially in the Rust Belt—and the erosion of community stability.

The social and economic fallout of this deindustrialization created fertile ground for rising inequality and precarious livelihoods. As factories closed and local economies decayed, displaced workers and struggling communities gravitated toward economic nationalism, embracing the belief that protecting domestic industries and restricting imports could restore lost prosperity and dignity. The hollowing out of America’s industrial base and the perception that globalization disproportionately benefited Wall Street and Silicon Valley over Main Street fueled a deep sense of betrayal. Donald Trump’s political rise tapped directly into this industrial nostalgia, promising to “bring back jobs,” “revive coal,” and “rebuild America’s factories.” His slogans, “Make America Great Again” and “America First,” resonated not simply as political catchphrases but as cultural and economic restoration projects, appealing to communities seeking to reclaim agency and security in a rapidly globalizing economy. In economic sociology terms, this movement represented the political articulation of the structural losers of hyper-globalization, reflecting a demand to rebalance the distribution of globalization’s gains rather than reject modernization altogether.

In stark contrast, China pursued a state-engineered, incremental approach to industrial and technological development, deliberately climbing the global value chain. During the 1980s and 1990s, China focused on OEM manufacturing, assembling textiles, electronics, and other labor-intensive products for export markets. The 2000s saw a strategic deepening of industrial capacity through foreign direct investment, joint ventures, and systematic technology absorption, which strengthened domestic capabilities and laid the groundwork for more sophisticated industrial activities. By the 2010s and 2020s, China had shifted toward indigenous innovation, exemplified by initiatives such as “Made in China 2025,” and invested heavily in building complete industrial ecosystems. The state actively supported capital-intensive, high-tech industries including semiconductors, electric vehicles, artificial intelligence, and aerospace, reconstructing domestic supply chains and ensuring strategic self-reliance.

The outcomes of these divergent trajectories are striking. Where the United States experienced a hollowed-out industrial heartland, rising inequality, and social precarity, China succeeded in thickening its industrial core, generating robust domestic capabilities, and gradually ascending the technological ladder. Whereas the American model prioritized financialization and short-term returns at the expense of domestic industry, the Chinese model used state-directed globalization and industrial policy to consolidate productive capacity and technological autonomy. This contrast highlights how structural policy choices and strategic state intervention can fundamentally shape the long-term resilience of national industrial ecosystems and the social stability that accompanies them.

Divergent Outcomes: The U.S. Hollowing vs. China’s Upgrading

The United States and China have followed markedly different economic trajectories over the past several decades, producing starkly contrasting structural and social outcomes. In the U.S., deindustrialization has profoundly reshaped the economy, as production has shifted from manufacturing to services and finance. This hollowing out of the industrial base has weakened the nation’s productive capacity, generated structural imbalances, and contributed to the decline of traditional industrial regions. Communities that once relied on manufacturing have suffered from job losses, economic stagnation, and social dislocation, highlighting the broader societal costs of an economy increasingly oriented toward financial returns rather than productive investment.

The financialization of the U.S. economy has further reinforced these dynamics. Corporate strategies have increasingly prioritized maximizing shareholder value through stock buybacks and dividends, often at the expense of reinvestment in productive assets, infrastructure, or technological upgrading. Research and development, though substantial in absolute terms, has become increasingly decoupled from domestic manufacturing. Many technology firms and research institutions outsource production overseas, which limits the feedback loop between innovation and the domestic industrial base and constrains the capacity for large-scale, integrated application of new technologies within the U.S. economy.

By contrast, China has pursued a development path centered on strengthening and diversifying its manufacturing capabilities. Rather than retreating from industrial production, it has systematically expanded and upgraded its industrial ecosystem across low-, mid-, and high-end sectors. Capital allocation in China has been strategically directed toward infrastructure development, industrial upgrading, and advanced manufacturing, combining state-led guidance with private investment to reinforce long-term economic competitiveness. This approach has not only bolstered the country’s productive capacity but also created a close integration between research and production, enabling technological advances to move rapidly from laboratories to mass-market implementation.

These divergent strategies have yielded equally divergent employment outcomes. In the United States, the decline of manufacturing has led to concentrated job losses and persistent regional disparities, undermining social cohesion and exacerbating economic inequality. China’s industrial expansion, by contrast, has generated broad-based employment opportunities while raising productivity and fostering continuous workforce transformation. The alignment of innovation, production, and capital allocation in China has created a virtuous cycle of economic upgrading, reinforcing both technological self-sufficiency and social stability. Taken together, the contrast between the two countries underscores how differing approaches to industrial policy, capital deployment, and the integration of innovation with production can shape not only the structure of an economy but also the broader societal and developmental outcomes that follow.

Conclusion

Nixon’s termination of gold convertibility established the fiat-money framework that made the Reagan-era financial deregulation so explosive. Freed from the constraints of hard money, the U.S. economy became fertile ground for the rapid expansion of derivatives, quantitative finance, and complex financial instruments, underpinned by the migration of STEM talent into Wall Street. These structural shifts transformed the economy from one rooted in industrial productivity to one increasingly dominated by financial speculation. The ideological transition from “What’s good for GM is good for America” to “What’s good for Wall Street is good for America” only became possible after these changes. Previously, the economy, political institutions, and global financial system were industrially focused, regulated, and tangible, keeping finance subordinate to industry. Once the structural conditions changed—through floating currencies, deregulation, and financial innovation—Wall Street could amass the wealth, influence, and cultural legitimacy necessary to justify its primacy in national economic discourse.

The combination of abundant fiat capital and deregulated financial flows enabled shareholder value maximization to dominate corporate strategy, directly contributing to the hollowing out of U.S. manufacturing and the over-financialization of the economy. The offshoring of U.S. manufacturing, in turn, became one of the most decisive catalysts for China’s industrial rise. Over several decades, the transfer of manufacturing capacity and supply chains provided China with the foundation to build a resilient, diversified industrial base. This process not only facilitated technological advancement but also reshaped the global balance of economic and geopolitical power, setting the stage for China’s sustained industrial and strategic ascent.

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