China vs India: IT Industry Lessons for U.S.–China Rivalry

Since 2025, India’s long-standing confidence in its IT industry has been shaken by two symbolic setbacks. The first was the emergence of DeepSeek, a globally influential open-source AI platform originating in China rather than India, prompting soul-searching in a country long celebrated for its software prowess. The second was Tata Consultancy Services’ announcement of its … Read more

Why Huawei Outpaced ZTE in the U.S.–China Tech Rivalry

Over the past few decades, Huawei and ZTE—both founded in the late 1980s and initially peers in China’s telecommunications equipment industry—have followed sharply diverging paths. Since the mid-2000s, Huawei has steadily pulled ahead, evolving from a comparable competitor into a global leader with integrated “device–network–cloud–chip–software” capabilities across 5G, semiconductors, operating systems, cloud computing, and AI. … Read more

Freedom or Performance? Singapore, China, and Western Doubt

In a June 5, 2024 Foreign Policy article, Graham Allison argues that Singapore challenges core Western assumptions about democracy and governance. Although international watchdogs classify Singapore as only “partly free”—citing restricted political opposition, limited media freedom, and weaker voice and accountability—it consistently delivers effective, stable governance. Most Singaporeans report high satisfaction with their government and … Read more

Domestic Substitution as China’s Strategy for Survival

China’s commitment to domestic substitution extends beyond technological or economic considerations; it is a strategic choice shaped by historical lessons, contemporary threats, systemic security, and the imperatives of a civilization with 1.4 billion people. This focus on self-reliance is fundamentally about the right to survival and development, a rational response to technological bottlenecks and external … Read more

Transplanting China’s 5G System into America’s Ideology Wall

This thought experiment transplants China’s 5G “national system engineering” playbook—characterized by centralized planning, coordinated industrial policy, and state-directed capital—into a U.S. institutional setting to test whether an equivalent nationwide 5G rebuild could occur. On technical grounds, the exercise assumes feasibility: spectrum can be allocated, infrastructure standardized, supply chains secured, and deployment accelerated at scale. The … Read more

From 1G to 5G: Strategic Rivalry Over Telecom Ecosystems

The evolution from 1G to 5G reflects a sustained three-way strategic contest among China, the United States, and Europe, in which technological standards serve as the fulcrum, industrial ecosystems as the primary arena, and national strategies as critical support. Rather than a linear process of technical upgrading, this trajectory unfolds through distinct phases—from dependence, to … Read more

China’s Distinct 4G/5G Path and Its Role in US-Tech Rivalry

China’s 4G/5G development has followed a distinctive three-pronged evolutionary path integrating institutions, technology, and markets. Shaped by strong state leadership, system-level integration, scenario-driven development, and ecosystem collaboration, this model contrasts sharply with the market- and capital-driven approaches of Europe and the United States, as well as the conglomerate-centered industrial trajectories of Japan and South Korea, … Read more

From Japan’s Decline to Lessons for China–US Tech Rivalry

The collective decline of Japanese home appliance companies in the Chinese market exemplifies industrial competition and structural transformation. This predicament highlights that, amid dramatic technological paradigm shifts, superior operational efficiency alone—when detached from scenario awareness and ecosystem integration—can become a constraint on adaptation and transformation. Strategic Misjudgments and Slow Market Response Japanese home appliance companies, … Read more

Why China’s Civilizational Resurgence Reframes U.S. Rivalry

China’s revival is plausible not because of inevitability, but because it rests on durable structural advantages: long civilizational continuity, a large and mobilizable population, a developmental state capable of intervention, and a unifying national narrative shaped by the “century of humiliation.” These features confer a degree of resilience that many historically declining powers lacked. Yet … Read more

Why U.S.–China Cold War Fails to Mirror U.S.–Soviet Success

The United States’ effort to frame contemporary tensions with China as a “new Cold War” has not generated the strategic leverage Washington once held over the Soviet Union. Although U.S. policy since the late 2010s has drawn heavily from the earlier playbook—tightened technology controls, mobilized alliances, and sharpened ideological language—the impact has been far more … Read more