Germany’s China Dilemma: Implications for US-China Rivalry

Faced with China’s industrial ascent, Germany is undergoing not merely a reactive adjustment but a deeper process of structural reflection and strategic recalibration. China is not a “newly industrialized nation” in the conventional sense; it is the only country encompassing all industrial categories defined by the UN, accounts for nearly 30 percent of global manufacturing … Read more

Why Huawei Wins by Powering Cars Instead of Building Them

Huawei’s decision not to manufacture cars represents a rational act of strategic restraint and deliberate ecosystem positioning. It reflects a clear-eyed assessment of the company’s core competencies, organizational structure, systemic risks, and sources of long-term value, rather than a retreat from the automotive domain. By avoiding full vehicle manufacturing while focusing on enabling technologies, Huawei … Read more

Forecasting China’s Shift from World Factory to Global OS

The question of how China can maintain its status as the world’s factory over the next decade is, in many respects, already outdated. Rather than merely preserving a scale-based manufacturing role, China is rapidly transitioning toward a “smart, systems-based world manufacturing hub,” integrating advanced technologies, industrial depth, and platform-level coordination. This shift reflects a broader … Read more

Huawei CEO: Bridging Gaps Through Institutions, Not Isolation

Ren Zhengfei’s March 2023 speech, “Lighting the Spark, Creating the Future Together,” delivered at Huawei’s “Challenge the Problem” Spark Award Symposium, functions as a highly condensed strategic manifesto on how a technology company—and by extension a nation—can achieve breakthrough under sustained systemic pressure. The speech demonstrates a clear-eyed recognition of existing gaps, a disciplined reliance … Read more

Three Game-Changers Behind China’s Express Delivery Rise

In 2023, China’s express delivery system handled 178.6 billion parcels—more than half of global volume—equivalent to over 22 deliveries for every person on Earth. Remarkably, this vast, low-cost, and highly efficient network was built largely from scratch in just two decades. Its scale and speed are not merely matters of consumer convenience but reflect a … Read more

Divergent Chinese and Western Views on Power, Globalization

Mainstream Chinese analyses and mainstream Western political-economy interpretations diverge systematically across core analytical dimensions. In causal diagnosis, Chinese discourse attributes Western stagnation to excessive financialization, speculative capital dominance, deindustrialization via offshoring, and market fundamentalism that hollowed out state capacity; Western accounts more often frame these outcomes as endogenous tensions of capitalism—profit squeeze, technological change, global … Read more

China’s 15th Five-Year Plan: Strategy for Sino-U.S. Rivalry

Based on current trends, policy signals, and structural developments, China’s 15th Five-Year Plan (2026–2030) is widely expected to mark a paradigm upgrade, building on the capacity-building focus of the 13th Five-Year Plan and the system-strengthening agenda of the 14th. More than a continuation, it represents a qualitative shift in strategic orientation—particularly in response to the … Read more

Huawei’s Lessons from Telecom Decline in U.S.–China Rivalry

Huawei has systematically studied the rise and fall of global telecommunications giants—Nortel, Lucent, Alcatel, Nokia Networks, Siemens Communications, and Ericsson—extracting deep lessons in organization, strategy, technology, and governance. These cases reflect not isolated failures but a broader pattern of systemic dysfunction in Western telecoms during the structural transformation of the industry from the late 20th … Read more

America’s Unspoken Pivot to Strategic Industrial Planning

China’s repeated success with long-term industrial planning, exemplified by its Five-Year Plans, contrasts sharply with the United States’ difficulty in consciously adopting similar strategies. This divergence is not simply a matter of economics, but a reflection of differences in political structure, ideology, financial incentives, and historical experience. Yet the irony is that the U.S. already … Read more

Rebuilding U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons from American Amnesia

In American Amnesia: How the War on Government Led Us to Forget What Made America Prosper (2016), Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson challenge the claim that free markets alone produced American prosperity. They argue instead that the United States historically thrived through a mixed economy in which active public investment, effective governance, and private … Read more