Lee Kuan Yew’s China Forecasts: 2026 Reality Check

This essay reassesses Lee Kuan Yew’s most consequential claims about China as presented in Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master’s Insights on China, the United States, and the World (MIT Press, 2013), evaluating them against global developments up to January 2026. While several of his strategic judgments—particularly regarding China’s long-term ambitions and state capacity—have proven … Read more

Economic Freedom and Anti-Welfare: Singapore, China, U.S.

Singapore and China exemplify a development model that prioritizes economic freedom over political liberalization, leveraging carefully calibrated welfare policies to promote growth, self-reliance, and social stability. While their political systems differ sharply from Western liberal democracies such as the United States, both countries share an economic logic that emphasizes market access, secure property rights, and … Read more

How U.S. Tech Accelerationism Shapes the China–U.S. Rivalry

American technological accelerationism—particularly its right-wing or “effective accelerationist” (e/acc) variant championed by figures such as Peter Thiel, Marc Andreessen, Elon Musk, and J.D. Vance—extends far beyond a Silicon Valley ideology or a domestic critique of U.S. governance. It operates as both a strategic self-conception of American power amid relative decline and a geopolitical doctrine that … Read more

Why the “Idealized China Model” Misled Western Analysts

The “idealized China Model” emerged not as a neutral analytical framework, but as a projection shaped by historical analogy, ideological comfort, and systematic misreading. Western observers interpreted China’s rise through familiar templates drawn from earlier experiences with postwar Germany and Japan, the post-Reagan United States, and the Soviet Union—each supplying expectations about industrial upgrading, political … Read more

America’s Anti-Welfare Narrative and the Fear of Dependence

Since the Reagan era, American anti-welfarism has operated less as a fiscal doctrine than as a legitimating moral narrative that defines freedom through self-discipline and stigmatizes dependence as civic failure. Where Singapore’s survival narrative governs through fear of national collapse, the U.S. version governs through fear of moral decay, recasting poverty as personal deficiency and … Read more

Singapore’s Governing Narrative: Survival, Results, Control

Singapore’s political order is best understood not as repression retroactively excused by prosperity, but as a comprehensive governing narrative grounded in survival. It is a tightly integrated moral logic that weaves together historical trauma, racial fragility, economic dependence, geopolitical vulnerability, and individual discipline into a single explanatory framework. Within this story, authoritarian governance is not … Read more