China moves up the value chain, to advanced manufacturing and increasingly frontier technology. Why the U.S. still claims to favor free markets.
China’s industrial policy is often misunderstood as a toolkit of subsidies, plans, and coordination mechanisms. In practice, it operates as a political–institutional tolerance system, one that permits repeated, large-scale corporate failure without triggering regime, legal, or reputational collapse. The experiences of firms such as BOE, SMIC, CATL, and Huawei illustrate both the strengths and limits … Read more
BOE’s transformation from a struggling restructured state-owned enterprise into a global leader in semiconductor displays provides a rare, internally consistent lens on how China’s industrial policy operates in practice. Rather than functioning as rigid blueprint planning, this case reveals a dynamic system centered on selection, scaling, and the absorption of risk. Through iterative support, disciplined … Read more
This thought experiment uses the rise of China’s BOE as an analogy to explore how the United States might deliberately reconstruct a failed industrial bet—Solyndra—into a globally dominant clean-energy firm comparable to China’s Longi, tracing a hypothetical path from early-stage rescue through scale, cost leadership, and global market penetration. It examines how such a strategy … Read more
BOE Technology Group’s transformation from a marginal Chinese display maker in the early 2000s into the world’s leading LCD producer by the late 2010s exemplifies state-enabled latecomer industrial catch-up. Through a combination of long-term investment, scale expansion, engineering iteration, and patient state support, BOE systematically restructured the global display ecosystem, forcing Japanese and South Korean … Read more
The implications of Sino–U.S. technological competition and global hegemony cannot be understood through the narrow lens of trade policy or export-control mechanisms alone. Rather, they emerge from a deeper interaction between historical trauma, systematic technology denial, and China’s capacity for industrial-scale adaptation. Together, these forces have reshaped China’s national strategy and are now transforming the … Read more
China’s electric vehicle (EV) industry is not the result of isolated subsidies or short-term stimulus; it is the outcome of a deliberate, system-level industrial strategy refined over two decades. Guided by long-horizon planning, scenario-driven experimentation, and pragmatic iteration, this strategy integrates fiscal and regulatory coordination, market shaping, ecosystem development, and global rule influence. Far from … Read more
China’s rise to near-peer status with the West reflects deliberate strategic choices rather than chance. While the United States and much of Europe gradually abandoned industrial density—treating manufacturing as expendable, subordinating engineers to finance, and assuming globalization and symbolic dominance would secure permanent advantage—China embraced production as a civilizational foundation. It built dense industrial ecosystems, … Read more
China’s resistance to financialization at the corporate level is not a moral stance but a systemic survival strategy. In sectors where technological competition has become a protracted war of attrition—such as semiconductors, 5G, and high-speed rail—short-term financialism equates to strategic suicide. The enduring strength of China’s manufacturing lies in its institutional resilience, which allows for … Read more
In The Man Who Broke Capitalism, David Gelles uses Welch-era General Electric to illustrate the consequences of severing corporate freedom from institutional discipline: short-term dynamism fueled by financial engineering ultimately hollowed out productive capacity, labor competence, and innovation. This trajectory stands in sharp contrast to German ordoliberalism, which holds that markets remain genuinely free and … Read more
Recent commentary—captured in the Wall Street Journal’s ironic phrase “state capitalism with American characteristics”—marks a telling shift in U.S. political economy. Ostensibly satirical, the formulation nonetheless signals a substantive break: the erosion of the neoliberal consensus, a forced recognition of state capacity as a core dimension of power, and an implicit admission that China’s model … Read more