Europe & Japan’s Tech Gap: Insights for U.S.–China Rivalry

Europe and Japan are notably absent from the ranks of internet giants comparable to Apple, Google, Tencent, ByteDance, and Alibaba, resulting in a relative lack of big data, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence companies. This absence limits Europe’s digital sovereignty—its ability to regulate foreign tech giants, enforce digital taxes, or prevent interference in elections—and constrains … Read more

China vs India: IT Industry Lessons for U.S.–China Rivalry

Since 2025, India’s long-standing confidence in its IT industry has been shaken by two symbolic setbacks. The first was the emergence of DeepSeek, a globally influential open-source AI platform originating in China rather than India, prompting soul-searching in a country long celebrated for its software prowess. The second was Tata Consultancy Services’ announcement of its … Read more

Domestic Substitution as China’s Strategy for Survival

China’s commitment to domestic substitution extends beyond technological or economic considerations; it is a strategic choice shaped by historical lessons, contemporary threats, systemic security, and the imperatives of a civilization with 1.4 billion people. This focus on self-reliance is fundamentally about the right to survival and development, a rational response to technological bottlenecks and external … Read more

Transplanting China’s 5G System into America’s Ideology Wall

This thought experiment transplants China’s 5G “national system engineering” playbook—characterized by centralized planning, coordinated industrial policy, and state-directed capital—into a U.S. institutional setting to test whether an equivalent nationwide 5G rebuild could occur. On technical grounds, the exercise assumes feasibility: spectrum can be allocated, infrastructure standardized, supply chains secured, and deployment accelerated at scale. The … Read more

From 1G to 5G: Strategic Rivalry Over Telecom Ecosystems

The evolution from 1G to 5G reflects a sustained three-way strategic contest among China, the United States, and Europe, in which technological standards serve as the fulcrum, industrial ecosystems as the primary arena, and national strategies as critical support. Rather than a linear process of technical upgrading, this trajectory unfolds through distinct phases—from dependence, to … Read more

China’s Distinct 4G/5G Path and Its Role in US-Tech Rivalry

China’s 4G/5G development has followed a distinctive three-pronged evolutionary path integrating institutions, technology, and markets. Shaped by strong state leadership, system-level integration, scenario-driven development, and ecosystem collaboration, this model contrasts sharply with the market- and capital-driven approaches of Europe and the United States, as well as the conglomerate-centered industrial trajectories of Japan and South Korea, … Read more

From Japan’s Decline to Lessons for China–US Tech Rivalry

The collective decline of Japanese home appliance companies in the Chinese market exemplifies industrial competition and structural transformation. This predicament highlights that, amid dramatic technological paradigm shifts, superior operational efficiency alone—when detached from scenario awareness and ecosystem integration—can become a constraint on adaptation and transformation. Strategic Misjudgments and Slow Market Response Japanese home appliance companies, … Read more

Why China’s Civilizational Resurgence Reframes U.S. Rivalry

China’s revival is plausible not because of inevitability, but because it rests on durable structural advantages: long civilizational continuity, a large and mobilizable population, a developmental state capable of intervention, and a unifying national narrative shaped by the “century of humiliation.” These features confer a degree of resilience that many historically declining powers lacked. Yet … Read more

China EV 2035 Forecast: Lessons from History as a Mirror

From the moment the Duryea brothers built the first American automobile in 1895, more than 1,900 registered automakers emerged within five years—most evolving from horse-drawn carriage workshops and relying on handcrafted production, with 99% manufacturing fewer than 100 vehicles a year. Yet by 1908, only 253 remained, as Ford’s Model T and its breakthrough in … Read more