How China Avoids Technology Lock-In Through Parallel Paths

China has pursued what can be described as a “proof by exhaustion” strategy to avoid the risks of path dependence and technological lock-in. Rather than committing early to a single foreign standard, China systematically explored multiple competing technologies, integrating innovation with scale-driven feedback loops. In earlier decades, China’s long hesitation before selecting one imported system … Read more

Huawei, IBM, the Paradox of Learning Then Being Sanctioned

Huawei’s trajectory is often misread as a contradiction: a company that adopted American management practices yet became the target of American sanctions. In reality, there is no paradox. By learning from IBM, Huawei internalized the logic of large-scale industrial organization—process discipline, global integration, and operational resilience. It then fused those methods with Chinese organizational norms, … Read more

China Envy: Why U.S. Tech Leaders Fear Falling Behind

In recent years, a notable cohort of U.S. tech leaders—including Marc Andreessen, Elon Musk, Eric Schmidt, Sam Altman, Jensen Huang, and Reid Hoffman—has voiced admiration for China’s approach to technology development. This “China envy” is not about endorsing authoritarianism, but rather reflects a recognition of China’s growing ability to coordinate, execute, and deploy technology at … Read more

What Nordic Countries Teach About Freedom America Lost

In The Nordic Theory of Everything: In Search of a Better Life (2016), Anu Partanen argues that Nordic countries have preserved a model of freedom once practiced in the United States. Comparing the U.S. before and after the Reagan era—roughly the New Deal through the late 1970s versus the 1980s to the present—reveals how American … Read more

Why Nordic Countries Aren’t Just “Socialist Nanny States”

In The Nordic Theory of Everything: In Search of a Better Life (2016), Anu Partanen challenges the common perception of Nordic countries as “socialist nanny states,” arguing that this label misunderstands both how their systems function and the type of freedom they foster. Her work highlights that the Nordic model offers a distinctive approach to … Read more

Why China Beats the U.S., Europe, Japan at Industrial Policy

Industrial policy has been more successful in China than in Western Europe, the United States, and Japan because China uniquely combines strong state capacity, long-term political commitment, and market scale with the ability to coordinate firms, finance, and regulation toward strategic goals. In industries such as photovoltaic panels, EV batteries, display manufacturing, and telecommunications equipment, … Read more

How China’s “Proof by Exhaustion” Shapes Tech & Survival

China’s so-called “proof by exhaustion,” sometimes referred to as the “no-choice method” by Wang Tao of Fudan University, is best understood not as indecision or brute-force trial and error, but as a system-level strategy for development under extreme uncertainty. Designed for long time horizons and sustained geopolitical pressure, it reflects a distinct logic for managing … Read more

Why the U.S. & EU Can’t Copy China’s Industrial Success

China’s industrial policy is often misunderstood as a toolkit of subsidies, plans, and coordination mechanisms. In practice, it operates as a political–institutional tolerance system, one that permits repeated, large-scale corporate failure without triggering regime, legal, or reputational collapse. The experiences of firms such as BOE, SMIC, CATL, and Huawei illustrate both the strengths and limits … Read more

BOE Case Study: How China’s Industrial Policy Actually Works

BOE’s transformation from a struggling restructured state-owned enterprise into a global leader in semiconductor displays provides a rare, internally consistent lens on how China’s industrial policy operates in practice. Rather than functioning as rigid blueprint planning, this case reveals a dynamic system centered on selection, scaling, and the absorption of risk. Through iterative support, disciplined … Read more

A U.S. Thought Experiment: Rebuilding Solyndra the BOE Way

This thought experiment uses the rise of China’s BOE as an analogy to explore how the United States might deliberately reconstruct a failed industrial bet—Solyndra—into a globally dominant clean-energy firm comparable to China’s Longi, tracing a hypothetical path from early-stage rescue through scale, cost leadership, and global market penetration. It examines how such a strategy … Read more