Shareholder Primacy Undermines U.S. Manufacturing Reshoring

U.S. manufacturing reshoring efforts are unlikely to succeed because they collide with the same shareholder-primacy system that originally drove offshoring. For decades, U.S. firms have been governed by incentives that prioritize short-term profits and stock prices over long-term productive capacity. Offshoring manufacturing to China and Mexico offered immediate financial gains through lower labor costs, lighter … Read more

Huawei’s Lessons from Telecom Decline in U.S.–China Rivalry

Huawei has systematically studied the rise and fall of global telecommunications giants—Nortel, Lucent, Alcatel, Nokia Networks, Siemens Communications, and Ericsson—extracting deep lessons in organization, strategy, technology, and governance. These cases reflect not isolated failures but a broader pattern of systemic dysfunction in Western telecoms during the structural transformation of the industry from the late 20th … Read more

America’s Unspoken Pivot to Strategic Industrial Planning

China’s repeated success with long-term industrial planning, exemplified by its Five-Year Plans, contrasts sharply with the United States’ difficulty in consciously adopting similar strategies. This divergence is not simply a matter of economics, but a reflection of differences in political structure, ideology, financial incentives, and historical experience. Yet the irony is that the U.S. already … Read more

Rebuilding U.S. Manufacturing: Lessons from American Amnesia

In American Amnesia: How the War on Government Led Us to Forget What Made America Prosper (2016), Jacob S. Hacker and Paul Pierson challenge the claim that free markets alone produced American prosperity. They argue instead that the United States historically thrived through a mixed economy in which active public investment, effective governance, and private … Read more

Transplanting China’s 5G System into America’s Ideology Wall

This thought experiment transplants China’s 5G “national system engineering” playbook—characterized by centralized planning, coordinated industrial policy, and state-directed capital—into a U.S. institutional setting to test whether an equivalent nationwide 5G rebuild could occur. On technical grounds, the exercise assumes feasibility: spectrum can be allocated, infrastructure standardized, supply chains secured, and deployment accelerated at scale. The … Read more

From 1G to 5G: Strategic Rivalry Over Telecom Ecosystems

The evolution from 1G to 5G reflects a sustained three-way strategic contest among China, the United States, and Europe, in which technological standards serve as the fulcrum, industrial ecosystems as the primary arena, and national strategies as critical support. Rather than a linear process of technical upgrading, this trajectory unfolds through distinct phases—from dependence, to … Read more

China’s Distinct 4G/5G Path and Its Role in US-Tech Rivalry

China’s 4G/5G development has followed a distinctive three-pronged evolutionary path integrating institutions, technology, and markets. Shaped by strong state leadership, system-level integration, scenario-driven development, and ecosystem collaboration, this model contrasts sharply with the market- and capital-driven approaches of Europe and the United States, as well as the conglomerate-centered industrial trajectories of Japan and South Korea, … Read more

Why China’s Civilizational Resurgence Reframes U.S. Rivalry

China’s revival is plausible not because of inevitability, but because it rests on durable structural advantages: long civilizational continuity, a large and mobilizable population, a developmental state capable of intervention, and a unifying national narrative shaped by the “century of humiliation.” These features confer a degree of resilience that many historically declining powers lacked. Yet … Read more

Why U.S.–China Cold War Fails to Mirror U.S.–Soviet Success

The United States’ effort to frame contemporary tensions with China as a “new Cold War” has not generated the strategic leverage Washington once held over the Soviet Union. Although U.S. policy since the late 2010s has drawn heavily from the earlier playbook—tightened technology controls, mobilized alliances, and sharpened ideological language—the impact has been far more … Read more

China EV 2035 Forecast: Lessons from History as a Mirror

From the moment the Duryea brothers built the first American automobile in 1895, more than 1,900 registered automakers emerged within five years—most evolving from horse-drawn carriage workshops and relying on handcrafted production, with 99% manufacturing fewer than 100 vehicles a year. Yet by 1908, only 253 remained, as Ford’s Model T and its breakthrough in … Read more