U.S. firms chased shareholder value, boosting profits and elite innovation while shedding factories—leaving supply chains efficient, fragile, and hollowed out.
The “America decline theory” claims the U.S. is in irreversible decline, but this is largely a myth. While concerns rise amid economic or political setbacks, history shows the U.S. recovers from crises. Often exaggerated, “decline” is relative—especially compared to rising powers like China—while ignoring U.S. strengths in innovation, military, and soft power. Political motives also … Read more
Franklin D. Roosevelt was able to serve four presidential terms. Similarly, it is plausible that Xi Jinping could serve four terms, especially against the backdrop of ongoing trade and technology tensions between the United States and China. In some respects, Xi Jinping can be seen as a 2020s counterpart to Franklin D. Roosevelt. The analogy … Read more
China’s state-led capitalism follows a unique trajectory that differs from the conventional Western notion of modernization, particularly the framework associated with the “Washington Consensus.” While the Western model emphasizes market liberalization and limited government involvement, China’s approach adopts a hybrid system that combines market forces with proactive state direction. This model allows China to harness … Read more
Apple cancelled its decade-long effort to build an electric car in 2024, ending years of speculation without ever bringing a vehicle to market. In contrast, Chinese companies such as Xiaomi—already a major player in consumer electronics, software, and online services—are not only producing electric vehicles(EV) but selling them at scale. This contrast underscores a broader … Read more
China’s vast STEM and vocational talent, strong industrial policy, and AI-driven manufacturing give it a major edge over the U.S., which faces talent, infrastructure, and coordination gaps. Talent Pool Size and Focus China produces about 3.5 million STEM graduates annually—roughly equal to the total number of graduates across all disciplines in the United States. This … Read more
This ideological shift replaced the industrial-era maxim “What’s good for GM is good for America” with the credo “What’s good for Wall Street is good for America.” In the context of this transition, the hollowing out of the real economy raises a critical question: how could the U.S. over-financialize while still needing a strong industrial … Read more
U.S. policy circles in the 1980s and 1990s did not widely anticipate China as a peer competitor in the 2020s, at least not in the sense of a strategic rival matching U.S. technological and economic power. Context in the 1980s/1990s In the 1980s and 1990s, U.S. strategic attention was heavily focused on the Cold War … Read more
Jack Welch, the former CEO of General Electric, embodied Milton Friedman’s doctrine of shareholder primacy, translating it into corporate practice. Yet, Welch was only one among many. The transformation from an industrial-based to a financialized U.S. economy was driven by a broader ensemble of influential actors across business, policymaking, and academia. Intellectual / Ideological Architects … Read more
China faces an asymmetric playing field — the U.S., Europe, Russia, Japan, and India can trade sensitive technologies among themselves, but China is systematically excluded. This creates a global industrial ecosystem where China is now the world’s sole manufacturing superpower. The Manufacturing Superpower Asymmetry Richard Baldwin’s observation is striking: China now produces more than the … Read more
The ideological transformation in the United States over the past several decades marked a profound shift in economic priorities, replacing the industrial-age maxim “What’s good for GM is good for America” with the modern credo “What’s good for Wall Street is good for America.” This change reflected a broader reorientation of the economy from production-centered … Read more