A U.S. Thought Experiment: Rebuilding Solyndra the BOE Way

This thought experiment uses the rise of China’s BOE as an analogy to explore how the United States might deliberately reconstruct a failed industrial bet—Solyndra—into a globally dominant clean-energy firm comparable to China’s Longi, tracing a hypothetical path from early-stage rescue through scale, cost leadership, and global market penetration. It examines how such a strategy … Read more

BOE’s Rise vs Japan & Korea: Lessons for U.S.–China Tech Race

BOE Technology Group’s transformation from a marginal Chinese display maker in the early 2000s into the world’s leading LCD producer by the late 2010s exemplifies state-enabled latecomer industrial catch-up. Through a combination of long-term investment, scale expansion, engineering iteration, and patient state support, BOE systematically restructured the global display ecosystem, forcing Japanese and South Korean … Read more

How Tech Restrictions and History Fuel China’s Self-Reliance

The implications of Sino–U.S. technological competition and global hegemony cannot be understood through the narrow lens of trade policy or export-control mechanisms alone. Rather, they emerge from a deeper interaction between historical trauma, systematic technology denial, and China’s capacity for industrial-scale adaptation. Together, these forces have reshaped China’s national strategy and are now transforming the … Read more

Why China Became a Near Peer by Exploiting Western Mistakes

China’s rise to near-peer status with the West reflects deliberate strategic choices rather than chance. While the United States and much of Europe gradually abandoned industrial density—treating manufacturing as expendable, subordinating engineers to finance, and assuming globalization and symbolic dominance would secure permanent advantage—China embraced production as a civilizational foundation. It built dense industrial ecosystems, … Read more

China’s Corporate Culture Blocks Welch-Era Financial Logic

China’s resistance to financialization at the corporate level is not a moral stance but a systemic survival strategy. In sectors where technological competition has become a protracted war of attrition—such as semiconductors, 5G, and high-speed rail—short-term financialism equates to strategic suicide. The enduring strength of China’s manufacturing lies in its institutional resilience, which allows for … Read more

Welch-era GE vs Ordoliberalism: Lessons for China’s Tech Edge

In The Man Who Broke Capitalism, David Gelles uses Welch-era General Electric to illustrate the consequences of severing corporate freedom from institutional discipline: short-term dynamism fueled by financial engineering ultimately hollowed out productive capacity, labor competence, and innovation. This trajectory stands in sharp contrast to German ordoliberalism, which holds that markets remain genuinely free and … Read more

State Capitalism: Why U.S. Can’t Match China’s Coherence

Recent commentary—captured in the Wall Street Journal’s ironic phrase “state capitalism with American characteristics”—marks a telling shift in U.S. political economy. Ostensibly satirical, the formulation nonetheless signals a substantive break: the erosion of the neoliberal consensus, a forced recognition of state capacity as a core dimension of power, and an implicit admission that China’s model … Read more

Genesis Mission Thought Experiment: Copying China’s Model

If the United States attempted to implement the Genesis Mission by transplanting core mechanisms from China’s industrial policy, the effort would look markedly different in practice and expose deep structural tensions. Operationally, it would require strong top-down coordination: compulsory integration of federal laboratories, universities, and private firms into a unified national platform; mandated data sharing … Read more

Why U.S. Can’t Build China’s AI-for-Science Platform—Yet

Announced in November 2025, the Genesis Mission is a United States federal initiative aimed at accelerating scientific discovery through artificial intelligence, frequently described as an “AI Manhattan Project.” Its ambition is to fuse AI with scientific research at national scale, yet it attempts to do so without the dense physical and industrial substrate—advanced manufacturing, instrumentation, … Read more

From Imitation to Leadership: China’s Proven Upgrade Path

Across sectors such as robotics, consumer drones, and electric vehicles, China has followed a highly consistent and deliberate industrial trajectory. The pattern begins with reliance on foreign technology, followed by rapid diffusion through copying and localization, then the achievement of scale-driven cost leadership. This process is reinforced by sustained state support that enables capability accumulation, … Read more